The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lumezzane 39%
Draw 29.8%
Pro Vercelli 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
29.9%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
29.7%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lumezzane's performance.
Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Vercelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lumezzane that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Vercelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lumezzane will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pro Vercelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pro Vercelli (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Drago G. (G) 77. Diodato S. 15. Ndiaye M. 29. Gallea F. 4. Paghera F. 23. Moscati M. 8. Rocca M. 11. Ghillani A. 19. Rolando M. 10. Malotti M. 20. Caccavo L.
97. Livieri A. (G) 18. Piran L. 44. Clemente G. 3. Coccolo L. 19. Furno C. 10. Rutigliano M. 4. El Bouchataoui A. 8. Burruano A. 21. Sow O. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 11. Sow A.
Substitutes
22. Bonardi F. (G) 30. Cantamessa S. 5. D'Agostino S. 2. Deratti J. 37. Ferretti E. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 21. Iori M. 95. Motta M. 3. Pagliari M. 39. Serpa A. 76. Simoncelli F.
78. Anton A. 28. Carosso A. 9. Coppola G. 31. Fofana D. 7. Mallahi M. 1. Passador P. (G) 29. Pino E. 16. Ronchi N. 33. Rosin D. 20. Tarantola L. 32. Zacchera G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Paghera F. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Diodato S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Sow A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Sow O. ↓, Mallahi M. ↑,
64', Ndiaye M. ↓, Pagliari M. ↑,
65', Rutigliano M. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
65', Piran L. ↓, Pino E. ↑,
68', Diodato S. 🟨,
71', Ghillani A. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
71', Rolando M. ↓, Iori M. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Ferro M. ⚽,
77', Mallahi M. 🟨,
79', Burruano A. ↓, Carosso A. ↑,
79', Furno C. ↓, Zacchera G. ↑,
84', Paghera F. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
84', Caccavo L. ↓, Deratti J. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Rocca M. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 0.
Lumezzane has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pro Vercelli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Lumezzane - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.