Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Luqa St. Andrews		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.9	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.81	3.29	3.33
	1.82	3.29	3.33
	1.93	3.52	3.41
	1.84	3.55	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.44 ↓ (3.51)	3.4 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luqa St. Andrews
47.9%

Draw
25.9%

Lija Athletic
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

24.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luqa St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luqa St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

Luqa St. Andrews is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lija is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Luqa St. Andrews have a series of guest games.

Recently Lija have a series of home games.

Luqa St. Andrews will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luqa St. Andrews won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luqa St. Andrews
Maltese Challenge League
02.03.24	Fgura United - Luqa St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Attard - Luqa St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Luqa St. Andrews - Msida Saint-Joseph	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Marsa - Luqa St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Msida Saint-Joseph - Luqa St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLW
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
03.03.24	Lija Athletic - Attard	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Msida Saint-Joseph - Lija Athletic	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Lija Athletic - Swieqi United	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
17.09.23	Lija Athletic - Luqa St. Andrews	3:1

Luqa St. Andrews - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide