Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Lusitânia		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.9	3.05	3.6
	1.7	3.35	4.5
	2.02	3.11	3.93
	1.95	3.14	3.74
	2	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.17)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	3.8 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
47.3%

Draw
28.8%

Gondomar
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitânia's performance.

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gondomar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 4).

Lusitânia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gondomar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Salgueiros 08 - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Lusitânia - Rebordosa	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Lusitânia - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Lusitânia - Camacha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWLW
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Resende - Gondomar	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Gondomar - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Alpendorada - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Gondomar - Lusitânia	0:0
23.02.20	Lusitânia - Gondomar	2:0
05.10.19	Gondomar - Lusitânia	0:2
07.04.19	Gondomar - Lusitânia	1:2
18.11.18	Lusitânia - Gondomar	1:0

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