Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 11

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Lusitânia		Camacha

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.68	3.3	4.35
	1.68	3.45	4.4
	1.7	3.56	4.79
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.68	3.52	4.55
	1.7	3.55	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	3.44 ↑ (3.41)	4.52 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
53.7%

Draw
26.3%

Camacha
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Camacha is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Machico - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Lusitânia - Leça	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Lusitânia - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Marítimo B - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWTT
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Camacha - Gondomar	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Salgueiros 08 - Camacha	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Camacha - Rebordosa	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Alpendorada - Camacha	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Académico de Viseu - Camacha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.26	Lusitânia - Chaves	✺

Lusitânia - Camacha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide