Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lusitânia		Sanjoanense

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.4	7.25
	1.33	4.6	7.8
	1.32	4.55	8.2
	1.33	4.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	4.54 ↑ (4.22)	7.76 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
68.3%

Draw
20%

Sanjoanense
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.6%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Lusitânia - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cioletti G. (G) 85. Castro D. 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 29. Cerveira T. 6. Martins H. (C) 8. Tokinho Doria 18. Pereira D. 21. Joao Vasco 11. Pereira M. 7. Avto	36. Duarte A. (G) 33. Dario 4. Maneta D. 30. Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. 2. Martins J. 16. Matos P. 42. Vitor Pisco (C) 5. Santos R. 11. Jota 7. Fonseca R. 70. Kiko Felix
Substitutes
20. Faria R. 77. Goba Zakpa 2. Nhayson 5. Oliveira J. 34. Paradela A. 80. Renato Luis 10. Ribeiro S. 41. Ricardo M. (G) 88. Teixeira M.	25. Couto J. 86. Gomes R. 17. Kusso D. 99. Liberal A. 38. Lima D. (G) 3. Loureiro F. 21. Neves R. 6. Tavares R. 12. Vitinha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dario 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', Avto ↓, Goba Zakpa ↑,
58', Pereira D. ↓, Renato Luis ↑,
71', Cerveira T. ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
71', Fonseca R. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
71', Kiko Felix ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
71', Dario ↓, Liberal A. ↑,
71', Tokinho Doria ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
81', Joao Vasco ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Collard D. ⚽,
90+1', Santos R. ↓, Couto J. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.01.25	Vilaverdense - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Lusitânia - Amarante	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Fafe - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Lusitânia - Varzim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT
- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
12.01.25	Sanjoanense - Varzim	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Anadia - Sanjoanense	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Trofense - Sanjoanense	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Sanjoanense - Fafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	1:1
28.01.24	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:1
29.10.23	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	1:1
09.01.22	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:3
29.08.21	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.11.20	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	2:1
08.03.20	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:3

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