Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)


	Lusitânia		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.47	4.52	6.43
	1.49	4.29	6.2	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.22
	1.44	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	4.24 ↓ (4.63)	6.06 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
63.1%

Draw
21.7%

Vilaverdense
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

19.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Lusitânia - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cioletti G. (G) 7. Avto 4. Collard D. 2. Nhayson 5. Oliveira J. 18. Pereira D. 11. Pereira M. 80. Renato Luis 3. Silverio 14. Valente M. (C) 9. Villela L.	82. Cajo (C) 10. Alves H. 71. Azevedo J. 13. Camara B. 2. Coelho V. 14. Jota R. 8. Madaleno D. 44. Neto L. 5. Sacko M. 70. Yemi 4. Zuzarte G.
Substitutes
85. Castro D. 29. Cerveira T. 22. Faria B. 20. Faria R. 77. Goba Zakpa 21. Joao Vasco 10. Ribeiro S. 41. Ricardo M. (G) 8. Tokinho Doria	54. Bagarolo H. 18. Barbosa E. 9. Barbosa M. 21. Burst J. 28. Claudio I. 33. Monteiro D. 25. Niambele B. 77. Robertson D. 99. Santos D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Silverio 🟨,
33', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Villela L. ↓, Goba Zakpa ↑,
57', Avto ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
58', Silverio ↓, Tokinho Doria ↑,
61', Camara B. ↓, Barbosa E. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Joao Vasco ⚽,
71', Pedro J. ↓, Barbosa M. ↑,
78', Pereira D. ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
84', 🟨,
85', Neto L. ↓, Bagarolo H. ↑,
85', Jota R. ↓, Claudio I. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+2', Pereira M. ↓, Castro D. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Lusitânia have a series of home games.

In this match Lusitânia is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitânia - Vizela	4:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.24	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
07.09.24	Lusitânia - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
31.08.24	Lusitânia - Braga B	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Lusitânia - Fafe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWLW
- Vilaverdense FC
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Paredes - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Vilaverdense - Varzim	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Dumiense - Vilaverdense	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
01.09.24	Anadia - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Vilaverdense - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWT

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