Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Lusitano GC		Pero Pinheiro

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.85	2.37
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.92	2.9	2.38
	2.95	2.96	2.44
	2.9	2.9	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.35)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)	2.43 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
31.9%

Draw
31%

Pero Pinheiro
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

33.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitano GC's form might have worsened.

Pero Pinheiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pero Pinheiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano GC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pero Pinheiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Lusitano GC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pero Pinheiro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano GC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.05.23	1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC	3:1 ✺
07.05.23	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Pero Pinheiro - Lusitano GC	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.04.23	Lusitano GC - Rabo de Peixe	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Angrense - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- CA Pero Pinheiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.05.23	Atlético CP - Pero Pinheiro	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Pero Pinheiro - Lusitano GC	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.04.23	Mortágua - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Pero Pinheiro - União da Serra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
30.04.23	Pero Pinheiro - Lusitano GC	2:1
Taça de Portugal
24.09.17	Lusitano GC - Pero Pinheiro	4:1

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