Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Pero Pinheiro		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.23	2.92	3.49
	2.16	3.08	3.35
	2.2	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.21)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pero Pinheiro
41.9%

Draw
30.6%

Lusitano GC
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

32.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pero Pinheiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

Pero Pinheiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lusitano GC in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pero Pinheiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pero Pinheiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.04.23	Mortágua - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Pero Pinheiro - União da Serra	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Pero Pinheiro - Alcains	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Loures - Pero Pinheiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTWT
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.04.23	Lusitano GC - Rabo de Peixe	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Angrense - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Serpa - Lusitano GC	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Lusitano GC - Ferreiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
24.09.17	Lusitano GC - Pero Pinheiro	4:1

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