Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.15	3.8
	1.78	3.51	4.84
	1.87	3.22	4.34	Watch
	1.85	3.26	3.98
	1.88	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	4.16 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
49.7%

Draw
28.2%

União de Santarém
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Atlético CP - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferreira F. (G) 31. Paulinho (C) 23. Almeida B. 4. Henriques D. 5. Durand V. 18. Dias R. 19. Okoli F. 14. Joaozinho 10. Caleb 96. Herrera J. 38. Santana C.	22. Hidalgo N. (G) 3. Joao Ricardo 14. Simoes J. 4. Pereira P. 58. Monteiro D. 16. Grilo M. (C) 6. Nanco I. 17. Aguas G. 18. Bamba 11. Goncalves E. F. 90. Koume S.
Substitutes
7. Barandas M. 11. Delcio 99. Dias R. (G) 28. Ekanga Ondoa H. O. 3. Gonzalez F. 60. Marques R. 9. Nicolas Souza 6. Pascoal C. 20. Pereira R.	49. Castro T. 10. Madeira T. 24. Medalli N. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 76. Ramos D. 30. Reis N. 5. Rodeia M. 19. Silva R. 29. Teixeira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Grilo M. 🟨,
40', Herrera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bamba ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
52', 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Koume S. ⚽,
57', 0 - 2, Monteiro D. ⚽,
58', Dias R. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
58', Okoli F. ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
58', Herrera J. ↓, Nicolas Souza ↑,
60', Koume S. 🟨,
63', Almeida B. 🟨,
75', Grilo M. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
75', Koume S. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
82', 🟨,
84', Barandas M. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))

Atlético CP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santarém is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santarém may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético CP is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético CP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
28.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Atlético CP - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Atlético CP - Caldas	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
28.09.25	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Amarante - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Amora - União de Santarém	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	União de Santarém - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
10.11.24	Atlético CP - União de Santarém	1:0
10.08.24	União de Santarém - Atlético CP	2:0

Upcoming Matches