Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lusitano GC		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	3.8
	2.21	3.35	3.86
				Watch
	2.02	3.38	3.44
	1.75	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	3.73 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
48.6%

Draw
26.3%

Vitoria Guimarães B
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

22.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano GC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Lusitano GC - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Yuk J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Lopes M. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Lopes M. (Pen),
1, Miguel Vaz (Pen),
2, Pinto J. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, Santos A. (Pen),
3, Saviolo N. (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location - Estádio Nacional do Jamor.

Lusitano GC has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guimarães B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lusitano GC is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lusitano GC will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.06.25	Lusitano GC - Elvas	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Fatima - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Elvas - Lusitano GC	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.06.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Leça	3:4 ✺
25.05.25	Marco 09 - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Leça - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWWW

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