Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira)


	Sanjoanense		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	3.75	3.5	1.83
	4.27	3.58	1.85
	4.35	3.54	1.81	Watch
	4.05	3.44	1.78
	3.75	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.37)	3.49 ↓ (3.53)	1.81 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
22.9%

Draw
26.3%

Lusitânia
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.4%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

27.3%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Sanjoanense - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marco (G) 6. Tavares R. 4. Maneta D. 5. Santos R. 30. Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. 12. Vitinha 21. Neves R. (C) 42. Vitor Pisco 70. Kiko Felix 11. Jota 99. Liberal A.	1. Cioletti G. (G) 2. Nhayson 4. Collard D. 5. Oliveira J. 80. Renato Luis 3. Silverio (C) 8. Tokinho Doria 18. Pereira D. 11. Pereira M. 77. Goba Zakpa 7. Avto
Substitutes
8. Coelho R. 33. Dario 36. Duarte A. (G) 7. Fonseca R. 3. Loureiro F. 27. Peres D. 9. Pinto L. 10. Semedo G. 86. Silva R.	85. Castro D. 29. Cerveira T. 22. Faria B. 21. Joao Vasco 6. Martins H. 10. Ribeiro S. 41. Ricardo M. (G) 88. Teixeira M. 9. Villela L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Tokinho Doria ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Vitinha ⚽,
33', Silverio ↓, Faria B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Kiko Felix ↓, Coelho R. ↑,
62', Vitor Pisco ↓, Fonseca R. ↑,
64', Goba Zakpa ↓, Villela L. ↑,
64', Avto ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
71', Jota ↓, Pinto L. ↑,
71', Santos R. ↓, Loureiro F. ↑,
75', Tavares R. 🟨,
87', Pereira D. ↓, Martins H. ↑,
87', Pereira M. ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
90+1', Vitinha 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sanjoanense won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Sanjoanense have a series of guest games.

Recently Lusitânia have a series of home games.

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sanjoanense won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sanjoanense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
28.09.24	Varzim - Sanjoanense	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Fatima - Sanjoanense	0:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.24	Sanjoanense - Anadia	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
07.09.24	Ginásio Figueirense - Sanjoanense	0:5 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
31.08.24	São João de Ver - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLWW
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
28.09.24	Lusitânia - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitânia - Vizela	4:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.24	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
07.09.24	Lusitânia - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
31.08.24	Lusitânia - Braga B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.24	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:1
29.10.23	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	1:1
09.01.22	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:3
29.08.21	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.11.20	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	2:1
08.03.20	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:3
27.10.19	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	3:1

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