The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luzern 45.1%
Draw 24.3%
Basel 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
23%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
22.9%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Luzern - Basel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Letica K. (G) 22. Dantas Fernandes R. 13. Freimann B. H. 46. Freimann B. 14. Ciganiks A. 24. Owusu T. 80. Zimmermann M. 6. Bertone L. 11. Di Giusto M. (C) 19. Mikolajewski D. 16. Kabwit O.
13. Salvi M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 24. Daniliuc F. 55. Victory A. 27. Ruegg K. 44. Harder J. 5. Metinho 11. Olaigbe K. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 7. Otele P. 9. Celar Z.
Substitutes
18. Bongeli F. 5. Knezevic S. 21. Luthi L. 7. Oehlers A. 10. Silva L. 1. Simoni S. (G) 15. Toggenburger N. 27. Villiger L. 29. Winkler L.
29. Cisse M. 41. Doucoure J. 37. Koloto G. 17. Malouda A. 22. Michelin C. 4. Omeragic B. 49. Renato (G) 8. Thorell L. 3. Vouilloz N.
Coaches
Portmann J.
Nocentini L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Kabwit O. ⚽, Dantas Fernandes R. (A),
4', 1 - 1, Celar Z. ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Otele P. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Freimann B. H. 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
57', Shaqiri X. 🟨,
58', Otele P. 🟨,
60', Kabwit O. ↓, Bongeli F. ↑,
60', Zimmermann M. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
60', Owusu T. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
61', Otele P. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
61', Ruegg K. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
66', 1 - 4, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
72', Shaqiri X. ↓, Koloto G. ↑,
72', Harder J. ↓, Thorell L. ↑,
72', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Toggenburger N. ↑,
84', Di Giusto M. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Villiger L. ⚽, Bongeli F. (A),
85', Celar Z. ↓, Omeragic B. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 2.
Luzern is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Basel is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Luzern might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Luzern: Bieler J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Basel: Hoch B.
(Knee Injury)
Kaio Eduardo
(Knee Injury)
Louis C.
(Injury)
Sigua G.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Luzern: Dorn P.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.1:1.8).
Outrights of Swiss Super League for now
Basel: 6.42% Luzern: 1.66%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Basel
9
4
1
4
17:17
0
13
6
Luzern
9
3
3
3
17:18
-1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Luzern - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.92%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
Ukraine
Usa
World
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Letica K. (G) 
Dantas Fernandes R. 
Ciganiks A. 
Mikolajewski D. 
Kabwit O. 
Tsunemoto K. 
Daniliuc F. 
Victory A. 
Harder J. 
Olaigbe K. 
Celar Z. 
Oehlers A. 
Silva L. 
Simoni S. (G) 
Cisse M. 
Thorell L. 
