Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Nuza G. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Switzerland	SRF


	Luzern		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	3	Watch
	2	3.5	3.1
	2.1	3.5	3.25
	2.1	3.7	3.2
	2.07	3.63	3.33
	2.09	3.66	3.24
	2.05	3.8	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)	3.66 ↑ (3.38)	3.22 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
45.4%

Draw
25.6%

Djurgården
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

25.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Luzern - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Djurgården will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G) 20. Dorn P. 46. Burch M. 30. Beka I. 13. Frydek M. 6. Jashari A. 16. Kadak J. 7. Meyer M. (C) 18. Beloko N. 11. Okou T. 99. Ademi K.	35. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 2. Johansson P. 27. Une-Larsson J. 3. Danielson M. (C) 26. Dahl S. 13. Finndell H. 11. Berg O. 6. Schuller R. 15. Fallenius O. 10. Asoro J. 23. Wikheim G.
Substitutes
21. Abubakar A. 69. Chader S. 4. Jaquez L. 33. Meyer L. 2. Ottiger S. 41. Rupp N. 5. Simani D. 10. Spadanuda K. 22. Ulrich D. 90. Vasic V. (G) 27. Villiger L. 23. Willimann M.	21. Bergvall L. 45. Croon M. (G) 7. Eriksson M. 16. Kaib R. 4. Lofgren J. 29. Milleskog N. 17. Moros C. 22. Qurbanly M. 9. Radetinac H. 14. Sabovic B. 18. Va 30. Vaiho T. (G)
Coaches
Frick M.	Bergstrand K.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Luzern in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Djurgården is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luzern will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luzern won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
30.07.23	Luzern - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Djurgården - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.07.23	Winterthur - Luzern	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Luzern - Excelsior	3:1 ✺
12.07.23	Luzern - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWW
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.07.23	Mjällby - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Djurgården - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.07.23	Djurgården - Elfsborg	0:4 ✺
17.07.23	Djurgården - Malmö	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Värnamo - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Djurgården - Luzern	1:2

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