Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Thermoplan Arena (Luzern)

Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2


	Luzern		Grasshoppers

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	4.2	Watch
	1.66	4.40	4.10
	1.65	4.25	4
	1.71	4.6	4.42
	1.68	4.56	4.18	Watch
	1.68	4.4	4.35
	1.65	4.46	4.16	Watch
	1.69	4.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)	4.46 ↑ (3.82)	4.19 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
56.4%

Draw
21.1%

Grasshoppers
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Grasshoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Luzern - Grasshoppers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grasshoppers will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grasshoppers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Letica K. (G) 22. Dantas Fernandes R. 5. Knezevic S. (C) 46. Freimann B. 14. Ciganiks A. 80. Zimmermann M. 6. Bertone L. 24. Owusu T. 11. Di Giusto M. 19. Mikolajewski D. 16. Kabwit O.	1. Hubel M. (G) 28. Stroscio S. 44. Pllana B. 58. Bettkober Y. 57. Rissi N. 6. Abrashi A. (C) 66. Gibelalde M. 10. Clemente O. 11. Morandi G. 9. Muci N. 17. Krasniqi S.
Substitutes
18. Bongeli F. 9. Grbic A. 21. Luthi L. 10. Silva L. 1. Simoni S. (G) 15. Toggenburger N. 27. Villiger L. 29. Winkler L. 17. Wyss S.	34. Arigoni A. 60. Bengondo S. 24. Goudmijn K. 71. Hammel J. (G) 25. Hilton J. 18. Lee Young-Jun 4. Mikulic L. 55. Papic D. 56. Sahin D.
Coaches
Portmann J.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Owusu T. ⚽, Di Giusto M. (A),
8', Zeidler P. 🟨,
9', 2 - 0, Kabwit O. ⚽, Owusu T. (A),
10', Abrashi A. 🟨,
27', Bertone L. 🟨,
36', Rissi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Morandi G. ↓, Bengondo S. ↑,
55', Clemente O. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Mikolajewski D. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Gibelalde M. ↓, Sahin D. ↑,
61', Muci N. ↓, Lee Young-Jun ↑,
68', Ciganiks A. 🟨,
72', Zimmermann M. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
72', Kabwit O. ↓, Bongeli F. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Mikolajewski D. ⚽, Bongeli F. (A),
76', 4 - 1, Bengondo S. ⚽, Lee Young-Jun (A),
77', Di Giusto M. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
77', Owusu T. ↓, Wyss S. ↑,
83', Rissi N. ↓, Hilton J. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Mikolajewski D. ⚽, Silva L. (A),
88', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Toggenburger N. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Luzern could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Luzern for this game.

Confirmed absences for Luzern: Bieler J. (Injury) Dorn P. (Inactive) Freimann B. H. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Grasshoppers: Creti P. (Inactive) Diaby A. (Inactive) Meyer T. (Inactive) Von Moos J. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Luzern has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:20 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Luzern against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:6 goals (averaging 2.1:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Luzern: 1.66% Grasshoppers: 0.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Luzern	9	3	3	3	17:18	-1	12
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13:24	-11	8

Last Results with these Odds

Luzern - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.73%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Grasshoppers - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.14%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
13.09.26	Luzern - Basel	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Young Boys - Luzern	3:3 ✺
02.09.26	Luzern - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Servette - Luzern	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWTW
- Grasshoppers
Swiss Super League
15.09.26	Grasshoppers - Sion	2:5 ✺
12.09.26	Thun - Grasshoppers	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grasshoppers - Zürich	2:2 ✺
02.09.26	Grasshoppers - St. Gallen	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Vaduz - Grasshoppers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
25.04.26	Grasshoppers - Luzern	1:2
10.02.26	Luzern - Grasshoppers	4:3
02.11.25	Luzern - Grasshoppers	6:0
26.07.25	Grasshoppers - Luzern	2:3
06.04.25	Grasshoppers - Luzern	3:1
03.11.24	Luzern - Grasshoppers	2:0
27.07.24	Grasshoppers - Luzern	2:2

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