Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1


	Luzern		Servette

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	3	Watch
	2.15	3.7	2.95
	2.12	3.7	2.92
	2.23	3.88	3.07
	10.80	7.04	1.21	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.16	3.72	2.98	Watch
	2.28	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.28)	4.11 ↑ (3.6)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
33.5%

Draw
26.5%

Servette
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

24.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luzern's form might have worsened.

Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Servette's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luzern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Servette, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Luzern - Servette Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luzern (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Servette (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Luzern (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Servette (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G) 2. Ottiger S. 46. Freimann B. 4. Bajrami A. (C) 22. Dantas R. 24. Owusu T. 16. Kabwit O. 29. Winkler L. 11. Di Giusto M. 19. Vasovic A. 71. Meyer S.	32. Frick J. (C) 17. Mendes H. 4. Rouiller S. 15. Burch M. 18. Mazikou B. 11. Fomba L. 28. Douline D. 36. Lopes T. 9. Stevanovic M. 10. Kadile J. 90. Mraz S.
Substitutes
41. Bock J. (G) 14. Ciganiks A. 9. Grbic A. 10. Karweina S. 5. Knezevic S. 73. Silva Ferreira L. M. 7. Spadanuda K. 27. Villiger L.	37. Djoho S. 21. Guillemenot J. 38. Ishuayed Sanchez M. 39. Miguel M. 14. Njoh L. 41. Nunez T. 5. Ondoua G. 44. Rieder L. (G) 35. Vincent A.
Coaches
Frick M.	Gourvennec J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Stevanovic M. ⚽, Mendes H. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Lopes T. ⚽, Mendes H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Meyer S. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
48', Lopes T. 🟨,
54', Ottiger S. 🟨,
57', Kadile J. 🟨,
63', Di Giusto M. ↓, Silva Ferreira L. M. ↑,
63', Vasovic A. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
63', Dantas R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
65', Mraz S. ↓, Guillemenot J. ↑,
65', Lopes T. ↓, Njoh L. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Winkler L. ⚽, Owusu T. (A),
73', 2 - 2, Bajrami A. ⚽, Ciganiks A. (A),
76', Guillemenot J. 🟨,
79', 2 - 3, Njoh L. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
81', 3 - 3, Kabwit O. ⚽, Ciganiks A. (A),
83', Fomba L. ↓, Ondoua G. ↑,
86', Ottiger S. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 0.

Luzern is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Servette is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Luzern is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Luzern: Dorn P. (Yellow Cards) Xhemalija D. (Muscle Injury) Zimmermann M. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Servette: Atangana J. (Inactive) Mall J. (Broken rib) Severin Y. (Muscle Injury) Srdanovic L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Luzern: Von Moos J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Servette: Bronn D. (Injury) Cognat T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:38. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Servette	10	4	1	5	14:13	1	13
8	Luzern	10	3	3	4	17:22	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
02.05.26	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Grasshoppers - Luzern	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Luzern - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Servette - Luzern	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLW
- Servette FC
Swiss Super League
03.05.26	Grasshoppers - Servette	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Servette - Winterthur	5:3 ✺
12.04.26	Young Boys - Servette	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Servette - Luzern	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Servette - Grasshoppers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
06.04.26	Servette - Luzern	3:0
22.11.25	Luzern - Servette	2:2
31.08.25	Servette - Luzern	2:2
18.05.25	Luzern - Servette	3:4
21.04.25	Servette - Luzern	2:1
31.10.24	Servette - Luzern	2:2
21.07.24	Luzern - Servette	1:2

Luzern - Servette: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide