Match Info

Super League - Round 33

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 3


	Luzern		St. Gallen

	1	X	2
	1.96	4	3.2	Watch
	2	3.85	3.1
	2.08	4.2	3.28
	1.98	4.2	3.23	Watch
	2	3.8	3
	1.95	4.1	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.29)	4.03 ↑ (3.68)	3.17 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
47.1%

Draw
23.3%

St. Gallen
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

25.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.

St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luzern - St. Gallen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 6 - 75%). St. Gallen will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G) 20. Dorn P. (C) 46. Freimann B. 4. Bajrami A. 22. Dantas R. 24. Owusu T. 16. Kabwit O. 6. Abe T. 11. Di Giusto M. 19. Vasovic A. 27. Villiger L.	1. Ati Zigi L. (C) 26. Gaal T. 4. Stanic J. 3. Kleine-Bekel C. 64. Stevanovic M. 28. Vandermersch H. 63. Konietzke C. 11. Boukhalfa C. 36. Okoroji C. 18. Vogt A. 14. Balde A.
Substitutes
14. Ciganiks A. 9. Grbic A. 71. Meyer S. 2. Ottiger S. 45. Sadikaj E. 7. Spadanuda K. 90. Vasic V. (G) 29. Winkler L. 39. Wyss S.	69. Besio D. 23. Fazliji B. 77. Ouattara T. 47. Owusu E. 8. Quintilla J. 74. Ruiz J. 70. Scherrer N. 25. Watkowiak L. (G) 66. Weibel N.
Coaches
Frick M.	Maassen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Boukhalfa C. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Vasovic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Vandermersch H. ↓, Besio D. ↑,
48', Abe T. 🟨,
55', Dantas R. 🟨,
66', Konietzke C. ↓, Weibel N. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Balde A. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Kabwit O. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
74', Dantas R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Villiger L. ⚽, Ciganiks A. (A),
80', Abe T. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
82', Okoroji C. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
84', Villiger L. ↓, Meyer S. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Balde A. ⚽,
89', Balde A. ↓, Fazliji B. ↑,
90+1', Vogt A. 🟨,
90+4', Kleine-Bekel C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )

St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 3.

Recent performances by Luzern have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. Gallen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Luzern: Karweina S. (Muscle Injury) Knezevic S. (Foot Injury) Silva Ferreira L. M. (Yellow Cards) Von Moos J. (Hamstring Injury) Zimmermann M. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in St. Gallen: Daschner L. (Yellow Cards) Dumrath B. (Back Injury) Gortler L. (Yellow Cards) Neziri B. (Knee Injury) Owusu E. (Hamstring Injury) Verinac A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in St. Gallen: Witzig C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:30. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

St. Gallen: 5.83% Luzern: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16:19	-3	13
8	Luzern	10	3	3	4	17:22	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

St. Gallen - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
06.04.26	Servette - Luzern	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Luzern - Winterthur	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Lugano - Luzern	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Luzern - Young Boys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWL
- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
06.04.26	St. Gallen - Zürich	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Sion - St. Gallen	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	St. Gallen - Lugano	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	St. Gallen - Basel	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	Thun - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
01.02.26	Luzern - St. Gallen	2:2
24.08.25	St. Gallen - Luzern	0:1
03.04.25	Luzern - St. Gallen	1:1
02.02.25	Luzern - St. Gallen	2:0
21.09.24	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:3
01.04.24	St. Gallen - Luzern	1:1
04.02.24	Luzern - St. Gallen	1:0

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