Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
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China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
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Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 1, C+ France, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 2, COSMOTE Sport 4, Cosmote Sport 4K
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	DAZN 6
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+


	Lyon		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.8
	1.93	3.6	3.8
	1.98	3.75	3.75
	1.95	3.83	3.93
	1.93	3.74	3.79	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.8
	1.97	3.96	3.94
	1.98	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.91)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	3.82 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
49.3%

Draw
25.6%

Olympiacos Piraeus
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

28.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	10.3%	23.1%

Lyon - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 55. Caleta-Car D. 3. Tagliafico N. 8. Tolisso C. 31. Matic N. 18. Cherki R. 11. Fofana M. 10. Lacazette A. (C) 37. Nuamah E.	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 45. Retsos P. (C) 16. Carmo D. 5. Pirola L. 23. Rodinei 22. Chiquinho 14. Garcia D. 32. Hezze S. 3. Ortega F. 17. Yaremchuk R. 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
16. Abner 17. Benrahma S. 6. Caqueret M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 34. Diawara M. 20. Kumbedi S. 69. Mikautadze G. 27. Omari W. 9. Orban G. 15. Tessmann T. 7. Veretout J. 14. Zaha W.	65. Apostolopoulos A. 29. Bakoulas T. 4. Biancone G. 20. Costinha 84. Kostoulas C. 96. Mouzakitis C. 74. Ntoi A. 27. Oliveira S. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 8. Stamenic M. 11. Velde K. 18. Willian
Coaches
Sage P.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Garcia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Hezze S. 🟨,
60', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Cherki R. ⚽, Maitland-Niles A. (A),
67', Matic N. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
67', Fofana M. ↓, Zaha W. ↑,
67', Cherki R. ↓, Benrahma S. ↑,
68', Garcia D. ↓, Willian ↑,
68', Pirola L. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Benrahma S. ⚽, Zaha W. (A),
75', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
77', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
81', Nuamah E. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
83', Retsos P. ↓, Ntoi A. ↑,
83', Chiquinho ↓, Velde K. ↑,
90+3', Rodinei 🟨,

Preview

Lyon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olympiacos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lyon will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Martins G. (Hamstring Injury) Masouras G. (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
22.09.24	Lyon - Olympique Marseille	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	Lens - Lyon	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Lyon - Strasbourg	4:3 ✺
24.08.24	Lyon - Monaco	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Rennes - Lyon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
21.09.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lamia - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Athens Kallithea	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWWW

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