Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2, ART Sport 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3, SuperSport Variety 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lyon		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.95
	2.13	3.75	3.41
	1.97	3.83	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.75 ↑ (3.72)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
48.9%

Draw
25.8%

Strasbourg
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

25.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	14.6%	9.8%

Lyon - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 62 - 76.5%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 8 - 9.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 67.3% – 85.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Strasbourg (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Strasbourg (1.89) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (37 of 42 users predict this - 88.1%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 48 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 38 - 79.2%). Strasbourg (votes: 7 - 14.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 23. Morton T. 6. Tessmann T. 10. Sulc P. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 11. Fofana M. 7. Karabec A.	39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 23. Sarr M. (C) 6. Doukoure I. 24. Hogsberg L. 7. Moreira D. 42. Ouattara A. 29. El Mourabet S. 32. Barco V. 19. Enciso J. 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
16. Abner Vinicius 39. de Carvalho M. 50. Diarra L. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 33. Hateboer H. 21. Kluivert R. 44. Merah K. 17. Moreira A. 20. Satriano M.	17. Amougou M. 50. Bajic S. (G) 20. Godo M. 80. Lemarechal F. 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 2. Omobamidele A. 16. Paez K. 77. Sobol E.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Panichelli J. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Doukoure I. (Own goal),
43', Tolisso C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Moreira D. 🟨,
67', Doukoure I. 🟥,
68', Fofana M. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
70', Sarr M. 🟨,
77', El Mourabet S. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
77', Enciso J. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
77', Karabec A. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,
77', Sulc P. ↓, Satriano M. ↑,
80', Doue G. 🟨,
90', Moreira D. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽, Niakhate M. (A),
90+3', Hogsberg L. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
90+7', Tessmann T. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
90+9', Lemarechal F. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lyon might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lyon: Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Amo-Ameyaw S. (Injury) Emegha E. (Hamstring Injury) Johnsson K. (Injury) Oyedele M. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Chilwell B. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Lyon - Basel	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Nice - Lyon	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lyon - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Lille - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Strasbourg - Angers	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Slovan Bratislava - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.09.25	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.03.25	Strasbourg - Lyon	4:2
30.08.24	Lyon - Strasbourg	4:3
19.05.24	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1
Coupe De France
27.02.24	Lyon - Strasbourg	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
13.08.23	Strasbourg - Lyon	2:1
28.04.23	Strasbourg - Lyon	1:2
14.01.23	Lyon - Strasbourg	1:2

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