Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
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Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
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Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Venezuela	Disney+
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World	Onefootball


	Lyon		Monaco

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.4
	2.8	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.88	3.58	2.49
	2.78	3.58	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.4
	2.92	3.62	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.53)	3.52 ↓ (3.56)	2.44 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
33.9%

Draw
27.1%

Monaco
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	32.3%	32.3%

Lyon - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Monaco will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 19.5% – 53.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 50%). Monaco (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Lyon (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Monaco (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Monaco (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Monaco (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 33. Hateboer H. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 5. Mangala O. 44. Merah K. 9. Endrick 8. Tolisso C. (C) 17. Moreira A. 10. Sulc P.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 5. Kehrer T. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 25. Faes W. 4. Teze J. 15. Camara L. 23. Bamba A. 24. Adingra S. 10. Golovin A. 11. Akliouche M. 9. Balogun F.
Substitutes
16. Abner Vinicius 39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 11. Fofana M. 18. Ghezzal R. 34. Kango S. 7. Karabec A. 99. Nartey N. 6. Tessmann T.	14. Biereth M. 28. Coulibaly M. 27. Diatta K. 3. Dier E. 31. Fati A. 17. Idumbo S. 16. Kohn P. (G) 13. Mawissa C. 20. Ouattara K.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Golovin A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Sulc P. ⚽, Endrick (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bamba A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
53', Faes W. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Teze J. (A),
63', Golovin A. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
68', Merah K. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Balogun F. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Fonseca P. 🟨,
74', Adingra S. ↓, Mawissa C. ↑,
85', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
85', Akliouche M. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
85', Hateboer H. ↓, Kango S. ↑,
85', Moreira A. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
85', Mangala O. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
86', Diatta K. 🟨,
89', Tagliafico N. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3.

Lyon has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monaco is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Lyon: Himbert R. (Injury) Kamara N. (Injury) Maitland-Niles A. (Injury) Moreira A. (Injury) Morton T. (Yellow Cards) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Caio Henrique (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Vanderson (Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Diatta K. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 8.8% Lyon: 3.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
2	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.36%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Lyon - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Le Havre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Lyon	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lyon - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
05.03.26	Lyon - Lens	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTTL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
14.03.26	Monaco - Brest	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Monaco - Angers	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.02.26	Lens - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Monaco - Lyon	1:3
10.05.25	Monaco - Lyon	2:0
24.08.24	Lyon - Monaco	0:2
28.04.24	Lyon - Monaco	3:2
15.12.23	Monaco - Lyon	0:1
19.05.23	Lyon - Monaco	3:1
11.09.22	Monaco - Lyon	2:1

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