The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lyon 69.1%
Draw 17.9%
Sparta Prague 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
22.5%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
22%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.
Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Prague might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.5%
10.9%
3.6%
Lyon - Sparta Prague Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Lyon (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 5.5 - over (6.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(47 of 54 users predict this - 87.04%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.08% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 21. Kluivert R. 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 23. Morton T. 6. Tessmann T. 7. Nuamah E. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 11. Fofana M. 17. Openda L.
44. Surovcik J. (G) 2. Suchomel M. 19. Sevinsky A. 25. Sorensen A. (C) 11. Rynes M. 28. Macek R. 18. Irving A. 17. Mercado J. 10. Karabec A. 7. Alcocer J. 14. Brunes J.
Substitutes
25. Bengui J. (G) 26. Boudache K. 39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 24. Duranville J. 45. Himbert R. 85. Kamara N. 37. Kango S. 22. Mata C. 99. Nartey N. 76. Ouedraogo M.
5. Eneme S. 54. Franc L. (G) 21. Grimaldo J. 47. Hegyi K. (G) 24. Holly D. 3. Kaderabek P. 36. Kuol G. 27. Singhateh E. 38. Sochurek H. 15. Vitalyos V. 29. Vojta M. 30. Zeleny J.
Coaches
Fonseca P.
Priske B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Nuamah E. ⚽,
34', Sevinsky A. 🟥,
37', Irving A. ↓, Zeleny J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
64', Brunes J. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
64', Macek R. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Maitland-Niles A. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
73', 3 - 0, Morton T. ⚽,
73', Mercado J. ↓, Vitalyos V. ↑,
73', Karabec A. ↓, Sochurek H. ↑,
76', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
76', Maitland-Niles A. ↓, Mata C. ↑,
85', Abner Vinicius ↓, Ouedraogo M. ↑,
85', Fofana M. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
88', Tolisso C. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
89', Rynes M. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sparta Prague may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lyon is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Bulgaria
Czech-republic
France
Israel
North-macedonia
Portugal
Serbia
Slovakia
Usa
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Greif D. (G) 
Maitland-Niles A. 
Kluivert R. 
Niakhate M. 
Abner Vinicius 
Tessmann T. 
Nuamah E. 
Tolisso C. (C) 
Fofana M. 
Suchomel M. 
Sorensen A. (C) 
Irving A. 
Mercado J. 
Alcocer J. 
Brunes J. 
de Carvalho M. 
Mata C. 
Ouedraogo M. 
Eneme S. 
Grimaldo J. 
Hegyi K. (G) 
Kuol G. 
Singhateh E. 
