Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.58	3.35
	2.19	3.58	3.35
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.11	3.46	3.16	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.34)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	3.15 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
43.1%

Draw
27.3%

Unterhaching
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	16.7%	77.8%

Lübeck - Unterhaching Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Unterhaching will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unterhaching: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 17. Grupe T. (C) 27. Reddemann S. 37. Sternberg J. 8. Egerer F. 20. Taffertshofer U. 7. Hauptmann M. 25. Gozusirin T. 21. Velasco R. 14. Akono C.	1. Vollath R. (G) 23. Schwabl M. 5. Welzmuller J. (C) 8. Stiefler M. 39. Waidner D. 38. Mashigo B. 37. Schifferl R. 10. Maier S. 30. Skarlatidis S. 34. Hobsch P. 11. Fetsch M.
Substitutes
31. Boland M. 39. Breier P. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 29. Facklam M. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 33. Schneider J. 13. Thiel M.	45. Heilmair H. (G) 44. Hirtlreiter A. 16. Keller A. 7. Krattenmacher M. 49. Ortel N. 31. Schmid F. 19. Welzmuller M. 6. Westermeier B. 21. Zimmermann T.
Coaches
Pfeiffer L.	Unterberger M.

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Lübeck could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lübeck will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Verl - Lübeck	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Lübeck - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Lübeck	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Saarbrücken - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLT
- SpVgg Unterhaching
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Unterhaching - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:6 ET ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
27.10.23	Unterhaching - Waldhof Mannheim	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Ingolstadt - Unterhaching	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Unterhaching - Sandhausen	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Duisburg - Unterhaching	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.01.21	Lübeck - Unterhaching	1:0
25.09.20	Unterhaching - Lübeck	1:0

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