Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 5
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	Magenta Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 5
Serbia	SportKlub 5
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.75
	1.51	4.55	6.08
				Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.29 ↑ (4.15)	5.78 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
62.1%

Draw
21.7%

Unterhaching
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Ingolstadt - Unterhaching Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Unterhaching will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Boevink P. (G) 43. Keidel F. 19. Cvjetinovic M. 32. Lorenz S. 23. Seiffert M. 29. Kopacz D. 34. Frode L. (C) 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Kanuric B. 11. Gronning S. 38. Zeitler D.	1. Heide K. (G) 23. Schwabl M. 15. Obermeier T. 34. Knipping T. 33. Hennig M. 30. Skarlatidis S. 8. Stiefler M. 39. Waidner D. 29. Popp L. 17. Torsiello F. 9. Kugel J.
Substitutes
7. Borkowski D. 3. Decker E. 18. Duhring M. N. 1. Funk M. (G) 9. Heike T. 16. Malone R. 14. Plath M. 33. Sekulovic D. 37. Testroet P.	24. Eisele K. (G) 27. Hoops T. 14. Ihorst L. 25. Jastremski L. 3. Lamby M. 20. Leuthard A. 7. Littig R. 10. Maier S. 11. Winklbauer T.
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Herrlich H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Frode L. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Kanuric B. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Kopacz D. ⚽, Zeitler D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Frode L. (Own goal),
59', Kanuric B. 🟨,
67', Zeitler D. ↓, Testroet P. ↑,
67', Seiffert M. ↓, Decker E. ↑,
79', Gronning S. ↓, Heike T. ↑,
81', Cvjetinovic M. 🟨,
81', Kugel J. (Pen),
83', Schwabl M. ↓, Maier S. ↑,
83', Popp L. ↓, Ihorst L. ↑,
85', Obermeier T. 🟨,
86', Skarlatidis S. ↓, Leuthard A. ↑,
88', Kanuric B. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Heike T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 3.

Recent matches Ingolstadt is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unterhaching is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unterhaching could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ingolstadt is certain favorite.

There will not play in Ingolstadt: Costly M. (Injury) Deichmann Y. (Red Card) Guwara L. (Shoulder Injury) Hoppe M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Unterhaching: Mashigo B. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:11 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
19.01.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	2:5 ✺
07.12.24	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
29.11.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWWL
- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Unterhaching - Jahn Regensburg	1:4 ✺
05.01.25	Greuther Fürth - Unterhaching	0:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.24	Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Unterhaching - Ingolstadt	2:1
30.03.24	Unterhaching - Ingolstadt	0:3
21.10.23	Ingolstadt - Unterhaching	3:0
30.01.21	Unterhaching - Ingolstadt	0:1
03.10.20	Ingolstadt - Unterhaching	0:1
02.06.20	Unterhaching - Ingolstadt	1:2
30.09.19	Ingolstadt - Unterhaching	0:0

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