Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.5	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.56	3.82	6.48
	1.51	3.84	6.55
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.31)	3.79 ↓ (4.5)	6.21 ↓ (8.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
60.9%

Draw
24.3%

Granada B
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

20.1%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

19.2%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Málaga's form might have worsened.

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Málaga - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 5. Juande 20. Monte N. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. 23. Sangalli L. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Lopez A. (G) 2. Castro R. 4. Van Rijn N. 20. Clavijo D. 22. Osei P. 19. Ibarrondo A. 6. Masllorens J. 8. Lendinez J. 7. Gonzalez M. 14. Saenz P. 11. Talaveron D.
Substitutes
26. Cordero A. 4. Galilea E. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 29. Merino I. 12. Molina M. 25. Murillo D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 18. Sanchez D. 9. Zuniga L.	17. Ballo K. . Griger A. 32. Lopez H. 29. Mortimer N. 10. Perez C. 30. Rodelas S. 15. Sangare L. 13. Tristan P. (G)

Preview

Málaga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Granada B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Málaga have a series of guest games.

In this match Málaga is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Málaga to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Málaga	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Málaga - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Estepona - Málaga	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Algeciras - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.09.23	Granada B - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Granada B	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Granada B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.23	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	3:2 ✺
08.08.23	Huétor Tájar - Granada B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLW

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