Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.52	3.75	6.5
	1.52	3.9	6.7
	1.47	3.94	6.75
	1.47	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	3.9 ↑ (3.5)	6.32 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
62%

Draw
23.5%

San Fernando
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

26.1%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

25%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for San Fernando aligns with the current prediction.

Málaga - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 23. Sangalli L. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 20. Estacio X. 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 10. Ramos D. 4. Farrando M. 6. Molina D. 11. Aquino D. 17. Sanchez A. 7. Biabiany J.
Substitutes
26. Cordero A. 5. Juande 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Molina M. 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 18. Sanchez D. 9. Zuniga L.	13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 14. Fullana F. 16. Leon C. 8. Martin A. 19. Martinez P. 18. Naveira U. 22. Oliva G. 9. Ribeiro 15. Ruiz V. 12. Selma D.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Málaga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Málaga to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Málaga	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Málaga - Granada B	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Málaga	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Málaga - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.23	San Fernando - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Intercity - San Fernando	3:1 ✺
10.09.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	San Fernando - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:1

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