Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, #Vamos
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Málaga		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.31	2.75	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3.01	3.51
	2.34	3.03	3.42	Watch
	2.33	3.1	3.34	Watch
	2.31	2.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
40.2%

Draw
32.1%

Tenerife
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	31.2%	0%

Málaga - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 6. Enriquez R. (C) 29. Merino I. 11. Medina K. 24. Lobete J. 9. Baturina R.	25. Badia E. (G) 22. Mellot J. 23. Juande 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 11. Cruz Luismi 33. Martin Luis A. 15. Bodiger Y. 17. Rubio W. 8. Diarra Y. 18. Enric (C)
Substitutes
27. Chupe 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 13. Lopez C. (G) 19. Luismi 12. Molina M. 16. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 5. Pastor A. 21. Rahmani Y.	29. Alvarez C. 19. Cantero A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 12. Landazuri A. 3. Medrano F. 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 9. Rodriguez A. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Pellicer S.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Juande 🟨,
17', Cervera A. 🟨,
37', Mellot J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Sanchez D. ⚽, Enriquez R. (A),
60', Juande ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
64', Lobete J. 🟨,
66', Medina K. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
66', Enriquez R. ↓, Luismi ↑,
68', Bodiger Y. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
68', Enric ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
77', Baturina R. (Pen),
80', Baturina R. ↓, Dioni ↑,
80', Larrubia D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
80', Diarra Y. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
81', Rubio W. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
85', Lobete J. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
90+1', Luismi 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Tenerife have a series of home games.

Málaga will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Gonzalez F. (Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury) Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Sanz A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Luismi (Injury) Monte N. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Málaga won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 0.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.25	Cartagena - Málaga	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Málaga - Levante	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
20.01.25	Mirandés - Málaga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.25	Tenerife - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Elche - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Tenerife - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Tenerife - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.24	Tenerife - Málaga	0:0
07.01.23	Málaga - Tenerife	1:1
19.09.22	Tenerife - Málaga	3:1
15.05.22	Tenerife - Málaga	0:2
15.11.21	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Málaga - Tenerife	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.21	Málaga - Tenerife	1:1

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