Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 24

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
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Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Mirandés		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.5	Watch
	2.98	2.98	2.45	Watch
	3.22	3.1	2.56
	3.11	3.01	2.51	Watch
	3	2.9	2.45
	3.19	3.02	2.52	Watch
	3	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	2.98 ↓ (3.22)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
30.7%

Draw
31.6%

Málaga
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

29.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

29.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.3%	16.7%	80%

Mirandés - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Málaga will win (votes: 24 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 65.7% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Málaga (1.68) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Mirandés (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Málaga (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Juanpa (G) 27. Tamarit T. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 19. Maras N. 15. Cabello J. 17. Perez P. 18. Bauza R. 29. Houary A. 16. Clua S. 28. Hernandez J. 10. Fernandez C.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 36. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 37. Rodriguez R. 22. Lorenzo D. 21. Nino A. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
48. del Cura U. 30. El Jebari S. 32. Gabriel S. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 6. Helguera T. 8. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 2. Novoa Ramos H. 4. Pascual M. 5. Pica A.	7. Abaida H. 26. Arriaza P. 30. Cespedes A. (G) 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 11. Munoz J. 35. Ochoa A.
Coaches
Muneta A.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Fernandez C. ⚽, Houary A. (A),
30', Perez P. 🟨,
38', Clua S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodriguez R. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
52', Bauza R. 🟨,
55', Bauza R. ↓, Helguera T. ↑,
56', Ochoa A. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Ochoa A. ⚽,
63', Nino A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
79', Houary A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
82', Puga C. 🟨,
83', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
83', Lorenzo D. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
84', Galilea E. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Fernandez C. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Tamarit T. ↓, Pica A. ↑,
90', Hernandez J. ↓, Pascual M. ↑,
90+2', Merino I. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
90+3', Juanpa 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 1.

Mirandés is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Málaga is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Mirandés: Cordoba I. (Red Card) Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Mari A. (Inactive) Postigo S. (Inactive) Varela I. (Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Dotor C. (Yellow Cards) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Murillo D. (Yellow Cards) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mirandés - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandés - Almería	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Eibar - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandés - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Córdoba - Málaga	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Málaga - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Málaga - Telstar	Canceled ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Málaga - Mirandés	3:2
20.01.25	Mirandés - Málaga	3:2
24.08.24	Málaga - Mirandés	1:1
13.05.23	Málaga - Mirandés	2:0
27.08.22	Mirandés - Málaga	1:3
30.01.22	Mirandés - Málaga	3:0
16.08.21	Málaga - Mirandés	0:0

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