Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	4.6
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.77	3.3	4.1
	1.66	3.56	5.49
	1.66	3.58	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.61)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	4.74 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
53.2%

Draw
27.5%

Mensajero
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

15.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mensajero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mérida AD - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.10.21	UD San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Mérida AD - Tamaraceite	6:1 ✺
17.10.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Mérida AD - Moralo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.10.21	Mérida AD - Coria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLL
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.10.21	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Cacereño - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	San Roque de Lepe - Mensajero	4:1 ✺
03.10.21	Mensajero - Antequera	3:3 ✺
19.09.21	UD San Fernando - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTLTW

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