Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.55	3.55	4.95
	1.57	3.8	5.87
	1.57	3.1	6
	1.56	3.82	5.69
	1.58	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	3.65 ↑ (3.1)	5.35 ↓ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
58.1%

Draw
24.9%

Mensajero
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

29%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

31.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Cacereño - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mensajero is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Getafe B - Cacereño	3:3 ✺
21.01.24	Cacereño - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Numancia - Cacereño	5:1 ✺
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLW
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Ursaria - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Mensajero - CD Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
17.12.23	Unión Adarve - Mensajero	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Mensajero - Cacereño	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.03.22	Mensajero - Cacereño	0:0
24.10.21	Cacereño - Mensajero	1:1

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