Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Soto (Mostoles)


	Móstoles URJC		Burgos

	1	X	2
	8	4	1.44
	7.5	4.4	1.44
	7.5	4.2	1.42
	6.95	4.23	1.44
	7.11	4.07	1.43	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.36	Watch
	8.1	4.45	1.42
	7.5	4.2	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.52 ↓ (8.68)	4.22 ↑ (4.22)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
12.4%

Draw
22.1%

Burgos
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

22%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

13.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Móstoles URJC - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Móstoles will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Burgos will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Vela C. (G) 20. Parra C. 3. Leiton D. 15. Victor 23. Vesprini Perez M. J. 8. Narbona A. 16. Guerrero F. 19. Garci 12. Navarro M. 11. Portilla A. 9. Nunez R.	1. Badiashile L. (G) 33. Exposito Jimenez M. 18. Aitor Cordoba 4. Arroyo A. 3. Miguel F. 22. Rodriguez T. 32. Pascual H. 23. Morante I. 10. Sanchez B. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
18. Amaro 17. Boriba M. 73. Brea 21. Lopez G. 22. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 5. Martin D. 14. Martin P. 2. Sibacha A.	11. Alex 5. Atienza M. 28. Cantero 13. Cantero A. (G) 16. Curro 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 38. Forns I. 27. Lopez D. 2. Lopez L. 20. Pipa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
24', Navarro M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Garci ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Arroyo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Sanchez B. ↓, Alex ↑,
50', 1 - 3, Alex ⚽,
51', 1 - 4, Nino F. ⚽,
59', Morante I. 🟨,
60', Morante I. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
62', Portilla A. ↓, Amaro J. ↑,
62', Garci ↓, Perez Lopez M. ↑,
66', 1 - 5, Miguel F. ⚽,
67', Aitor Cordoba ↓, Forns I. ↑,
67', Nunez R. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
70', 2 - 5, Lopez G. ⚽,
71', Nino F. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Burgos is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.24	Coria - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Illescas	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Conquense - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Elche - Burgos	1:0 ✺
24.10.24	Burgos - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
21.10.24	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Burgos - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Almería - Burgos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

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