Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 3, LaLiga TV Bar 4, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Burgos		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.75	Watch
	1.9	2.95	4.33
	1.95	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.98	3.1	4.97
	2.11	3.09	3.95	Watch
	2	3.2	3.75
	1.95	3.26	4.29	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.8)	3.1 ↓ (3.55)	4.34 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
47.9%

Draw
30.4%

Ferrol
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	23.8%	19%

Burgos - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Aitor Cordoba 2. Lopez L. 38. Forns I. 21. Cordoba I. 5. Atienza M. 23. Morante I. 10. Sanchez B. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 16. Curro	25. Ruiz J. (G) 3. Correa R. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 21. Moi 17. Dorrio J. 6. Sanz A. 16. Manzanara F. 14. Gelardo A. 9. Jauregi E. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
1. Badiashile L. (G) 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 33. Exposito Jimenez M. 27. Lopez D. 3. Miguel F. 6. Navarro R. 9. Nino F. 39. Nsukula G. 32. Pascual H. 20. Pipa 22. Rodriguez T.	12. Bebe 7. Borrego C. 22. Bunuel A. 26. Carballo D. 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 11. Nacho 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Bolo	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Correa R. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Sanchez B. ⚽, Curro (A),
39', Naldo 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gelardo A. ⚽, Correa R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Correa R. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
46', Moi ↓, Bunuel A. ↑,
57', Sanchez B. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
60', Dorrio J. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
66', Gelardo A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
71', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Miguel F. ↑,
71', Forns I. ↓, Pipa ↑,
79', Gimenez A. ↓, Carballo D. ↑,
81', Arroyo A. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
81', Cordoba I. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3.

Burgos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

There will not play in Burgos: Alex (Muscle Injury) Appin K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ferrol: Lopez A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury) Martinez B. (Thigh Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.10.24	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Burgos - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Almería - Burgos	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Burgos - Granada	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Burgos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLTW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.24	Ferrol - Huesca	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Córdoba - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Ferrol - Albacete Balompié	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.02.24	Burgos - Ferrol	2:0
19.11.23	Ferrol - Burgos	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.03.17	Burgos - Ferrol	2:1
16.10.16	Ferrol - Burgos	1:1
13.03.16	Burgos - Ferrol	2:0
25.10.15	Ferrol - Burgos	3:2
21.03.15	Ferrol - Burgos	3:1

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