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Current Win Probability
Albacete Balompié 37.9%
Draw 31.4%
Burgos 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
30%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
31.2%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
63.6%
27.3%
Albacete Balompié - Burgos Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (C) 15. Gamez F. 5. Moreno J. 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 3. Jogo 14. San Bartolome V. 8. Fernandez M. 6. Pacheco A. 19. Rubio A. 10. Betancor J.
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 3. Luengo O. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 4. Galdames P. 5. Atienza M. (C) 10. Appin K. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro
Substitutes
27. Bernabeu D. 26. Capi 16. Lazo J. 22. Lopez L. 2. Lorenzo 17. Melendez A. 20. Obeng S. 23. Pepe 7. Puertas A. 30. Ramos M. (G)
15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 21. Cordoba I. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 23. Morante I. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez A.
Ramis L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Appin K. ⚽, Curro (A),
25', Vallejo J. 🟨,
27', Atienza M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Luengo O. (Own goal),
33', Fernandez M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Nino F. ⚽, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Vallejo J. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
62', Betancor J. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
62', Fernandez M. ↓, Puertas A. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Rubio A. ⚽, Lazo J. (A),
64', Galdames P. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
64', Appin K. ↓, Morante I. ↑,
71', 2 - 3, Lizancos A. ⚽, Curro (A),
78', Pepe 🟨,
79', Curro ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
79', Nino F. ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
79', Gamez F. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
79', San Bartolome V. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
89', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Bunuel A. ↑,
90+4', Rubio A. 🟨,
90+4', Cordoba I. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Albacete is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Albacete: Agus Medina
(Ankle Injury)
Cedeno E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marin H.
(Ankle Injury)
Marino D.
(Back Injury)
Valverde V.
(Inactive)
Villar J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Burgos: Gonzalez S.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Albacete: Pepe
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Burgos CF
8
4
2
2
12:9
3
14
22
Albacete
8
0
1
7
5:15
-10
1
Last Results with these Odds
Albacete Balompié - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.