Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Coria

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2.22	3.05	3.1
	2.29	3	3.32
	2.24	3.05	3.18	Watch
	2.26	3.36	3.05
	2.22	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.63)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	3.13 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
41.1%

Draw
29.7%

Coria
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 0, Ricoy L. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Carmona M. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Carmona M. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Maffeo V. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Móstoles is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coria in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Móstoles will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Móstoles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.03.25	Illescas - Móstoles URJC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Conquense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Real Madrid C - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLWWL
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.03.25	Coria - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Navalcarnero - Coria	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Tenerife B - Coria	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Coria - Illescas	4:3 ✺
02.02.25	Conquense - Coria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.24	Coria - Móstoles URJC	3:1

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