Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Tenerife B

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.85
	3.4	3.3	1.88
	3.55	3.45	1.89
	3.31	3.68	1.96
	3.43	3.63	1.92	Watch
	3.79	3.42	1.9
	3.55	3.45	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4.28)	3.48 ↑ (3.33)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
26%

Draw
26.1%

Tenerife B
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

27.2%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

26.3%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Tenerife B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Tenerife B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, Sabina F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Móstoles has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tenerife B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tenerife B will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Getafe B - Móstoles URJC	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Burgos	2:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.24	Coria - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Illescas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- Tenerife B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Tenerife B - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Getafe B - Tenerife B	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Tenerife B - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Navalcarnero - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Tenerife B - Cacereño	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW

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