Match Info
Nakotnes liga - Round 4Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Latvia | Futbols TV |
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Mārupe |
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Valmiera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.85 |
4.35 |
1.6 |
Watch |
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4.16 |
4.49 |
1.59 |
Watch |
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4.01 |
4.46 |
1.65 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.01 (4.01) |
4.43 ↑ (4.24) |
1.61 ↑ (1.61) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mārupe 22.8% | Draw 20.6% | Valmiera 56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mārupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Mārupe - Valmiera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Dembele M. ⚽, Stepanovs V. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', Sadovnikovs R. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 2, Lopes G. ⚽, Buss R. (A),
- 71', 1 - 2, Oliynyk M. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 3, Stepanovs V. ⚽, Lopes G. (A),
- 80', 2 - 3, Krievins R. ⚽, Oliynyk M. (A),
Preview
Mārupe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Valmiera is the team to beat. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Valmiera | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60:23 | 37 | 51 |
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| 6 | Marupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;