Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Gradski (Nikšić)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sutjeska		ML Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.9	Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.37
	2.52	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.78	3.3	2.62
	2.65	3.31	2.6	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.55
	2.56	3.01	3.03	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	2.65 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutjeska
35.5%

Draw
29.4%

ML Vitebsk
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutjeska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	35.3%	52.9%

Sutjeska - ML Vitebsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sutjeska will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). ML Vitebsk will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ML Vitebsk: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giljen V. (C) 4. Vracar M. 15. Kopitovic B. 72. Babic A. 22. Raznatovic A. 6. Hocko D. 19. Scekic A. 77. Simun M. 11. Cavor V. 55. Babic S. 7. Boljevic A.	1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y. 20. Volkov Z. (C) 6. Gomanov K. 45. Moskalenchik I. 55. Gromyko V. 15. Bocherov V. 27. Mesarovic A. 10. Cleonise D. 80. Kontsevoy A. 12. Bosic R.
Substitutes
9. Anicic P. 20. Cadjenovic J. 3. Camara M. 21. Cetkovic D. 44. Dedic R. 25. Djukanovic M. 23. Dubljevic R. (G) 12. Durovic T. (G) 2. Golubovic A. 30. Kecojevic A. 5. Pajovic I. 10. Toskovic B.	23. Balanovich S. 3. Baranok N. 99. Bulanov M. 9. Diabate B. 8. Gnaka S. 7. Ivanov T. 5. Mohammadi M. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 18. Zhuk V.
Coaches
Pekovic M.	Sokolinsky F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Kontsevoy A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cleonise D. ↓, Diabate B. ↑,
54', Babic S. 🟨,
56', Cavor V. ↓, Anicic P. ↑,
56', Babic S. ↓, Toskovic B. ↑,
60', Mesarovic A. ↓, Mohammadi M. ↑,
60', Bosic R. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
64', Boljevic A. ↓, Kecojevic A. ↑,
64', Scekic A. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
65', Toskovic B. 🟨,
67', Raznatovic A. 🟨,
71', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Bulanov M. ↑,
81', Moskalenchik I. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Toskovic B. ⚽, Simun M. (A),
86', Kopitovic B. ↓, Dedic R. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Diabate B. ⚽, Gromyko V. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

Sutjeska is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

ML Vitebsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that ML Vitebsk will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sutjeska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Sutjeska - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.15%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutjeska FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	ML Vitebsk - Sutjeska	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Sutjeska - Kairat	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Kairat - Sutjeska	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Sutjeska - Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	AF Elbasani - Sutjeska	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLL?
- ML Vitebsk
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	ML Vitebsk - Sutjeska	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
08.07.26	ML Vitebsk - Universitatea Craiova	1:4 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.07.26	Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk	2:4 ✺
27.06.26	ML Vitebsk - Naftan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	ML Vitebsk - Sutjeska	3:0

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