Match Info

I Liqa - Round 23

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Şəfa		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.75	7.9	Watch
	1.56	3.23	6.94	Watch
	1.32	5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)	4.33 ↓ (4.88)	7.75 ↓ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şəfa
66.6%

Draw
21.4%

MOIK Baku
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.7%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.1%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Şəfa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Şəfa - MOIK Baku Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Ismayilov U. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Quliyev T. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Aliyev N. ⚽,

Preview

Şəfa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, MOIK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Şəfa is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Şəfa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Şəfa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	MOIK Baku	3	1	1	1	3:2	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan First Division
16.04.26	Baku Sporting - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Şəfa - Səbail	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Mingachevir - Şəfa	5:2 ✺
18.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Shimal - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWW
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
15.04.26	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Səbail - MOIK Baku	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
25.12.25	MOIK Baku - Şəfa	0:2
02.10.25	Şəfa - MOIK Baku	4:1

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