Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Yud-Alef Stadium (Ashdod)

Referee: Berman S. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel


	MS Ashdod		Hapoel Haifa

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.72	3.35	2.38
	2.44	3.47	2.58	Watch
	2.72	3.34	2.43	Watch
	2.74	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.44)	3.35 ↓ (3.47)	2.45 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Ashdod
34.5%

Draw
27.6%

Hapoel Haifa
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Hapoel Haifa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Haifa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

MS Ashdod - Hapoel Haifa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Niemczycki K. (C) 3. Diakite I. 5. Bitton N. 15. Ben Zaken T. 9. Harush S. 10. Tamam I. 8. Gordana R. 87. Amer M. 23. Azo O. N. 29. Batoum J. 13. Ansah E.	1. Antman N. (G) 11. Forat Ayias A. 3. Arbel T. 25. Diba G. 14. Nawi R. 12. Biton O. 24. Sardal L. (C) 18. Biton O. 55. Sabag N. 10. East J. 7. Buganim I.
Substitutes
7. Dabush N. 45. Dasa O. 18. Hadadi B. 1. Karmi R. (G) 26. Kimvuidi K. 55. Meir R. 14. Muche N. 98. Nachmani S. 16. Yashilirmak M.	27. Balahssan S. 41. Cabeda Y. 8. Ferber Y. 15. Gonen Y. 9. Hatuel R. 22. Machini B. (G) 4. Malul D. 77. Ndo R. 21. Zikri R.
Coaches
Silvas H.	Arel G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, East J. ⚽, Biton O. (A),
2', East J. 🟨,
7', Harush S. 🟨,
30', Sabag N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Diakite I. ⚽, Ben Zaken T. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Batoum J. ⚽, Ben Zaken T. (A),
41', 3 - 1, Azo O. N. ⚽, Bitton N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nawi R. ↓, Ferber Y. ↑,
46', Buganim I. ↓, Hatuel R. ↑,
46', Forat Ayias A. ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
54', Azo O. N. ↓, Muche N. ↑,
65', Bitton N. ↓, Yashilirmak M. ↑,
67', Ben Zaken T. 🟨,
68', Sardal L. ↓, Zikri R. ↑,
76', Biton O. ↓, Gonen Y. ↑,
83', Gordana R. ↓, Kimvuidi K. ↑,
83', Batoum J. ↓, Dasa O. ↑,
83', Ben Zaken T. ↓, Meir R. ↑,
90+6', Gonen Y. 🟨,
90+9', 4 - 1, Ansah E. ⚽, Kimvuidi K. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There are questionable in Ashdod: Hakmon S. (Heart Problems) Harush S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hapoel Haifa: Buganim I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashdod won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

MS Ashdod - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Hapoel Haifa - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
25.10.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Bnei Raina	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWWL
- Hapoel Haifa FC
Israeli Ligat haAl
25.10.25	Hapoel Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Haifa	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
20.01.25	Hapoel Haifa - MS Ashdod	2:1
05.10.24	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Haifa	0:1
Israeli Toto Cup
18.08.24	Hapoel Haifa - MS Ashdod	2:4
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.01.24	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Haifa	0:1
17.09.23	Hapoel Haifa - MS Ashdod	2:0
Israeli Toto Cup
19.08.23	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Haifa	0:1 penalties
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.02.23	Hapoel Haifa - MS Ashdod	1:1

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