Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 21

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	MS Tira		Hapoel Karmiel

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.15
	1.73	3.47	4.1
	1.74	3.64	4.13	Watch
	1.7	3.52	4.38
	1.72	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	4.19 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Tira
52.6%

Draw
25.8%

Hapoel Karmiel
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hapoel Karmiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Tira than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

MS Tira - Hapoel Karmiel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hapoel Karmiel (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Karmiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Tira is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hapoel Karmiel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tira is a strong favorite.

We predict that Tira will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hapoel Karmiel	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
3	MS Tira	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Tira
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Tzeirey Tamra - MS Tira	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	MS Tira - Ironi Nesher	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - MS Tira	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	MS Tira - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - MS Tira	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWW
- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Hapoel Karmiel - MS Tira	3:5

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