Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	MYPA		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.5	Watch
	5	4.5	1.45
	5	4.5	1.5
	5.4	4.7	1.45
	5.69	5.08	1.5
	5.8	4.6	1.44
	5.45	4.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (4.72)	4.7 ↑ (4.45)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MYPA
17%

Draw
19.8%

Gnistan
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

20.8%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

17.2%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MYPA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gnistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MYPA - Gnistan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

MYPA has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gnistan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gnistan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently MYPA have a series of home games.

In this match Gnistan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches MYPA won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams MYPA won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MYPA
Finnish Ykkonen
04.10.20	MYPA - MuSa	1:5 ✺
30.09.20	MYPA - KTP Kotka	0:3 ✺
20.09.20	MYPA - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	KPV Kokkola - MYPA	6:0 ✺
12.09.20	MYPA - VPS Vaasa	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTLL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
04.10.20	Gnistan - Ekenäs	3:3 ✺
30.09.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Gnistan	3:1 ✺
26.09.20	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Gnistan - MuSa	3:1 ✺
16.09.20	KTP Kotka - Gnistan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
16.08.20	Gnistan - MYPA	3:2
Club Friendly
18.06.20	MYPA - Gnistan	1:1
Finnish Cup
22.02.20	Gnistan - MYPA	2:5
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
15.09.18	MYPA - Gnistan	2:1
28.04.18	Gnistan - MYPA	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.11.26	Inter Turku - Gnistan	✺
29.10.26	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	✺

MYPA - Gnistan