Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA - RELEGATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Gnistan		SJK Akatemia

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4	Watch
	1.58	3.9	4.2
	1.63	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.62	4.5
	1.63	4.68	4.55
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.59	4.4	4.85
	1.58	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)	4.32 ↓ (4.5)	4.44 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
57.8%

Draw
21.4%

SJK Akatemia
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gnistan's form might have worsened.

SJK Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gnistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SJK Akatemia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gnistan - SJK Akatemia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). SJK Akatemia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Koski J. (C) 24. Sukunda Z. 16. Rasimus K. 5. Takamaki T. 30. Mabinda J. 20. Medo 28. Kabashi A. 17. Sarr M. 10. Latonen J. 6. Woivalin H. 9. Markkanen E.	25. Rodriguez M. (G) 16. Koivisto T. 29. Giabo Yussif S. 36. Cukici D. (C) 21. Vaisto O. 31. Paananen K. 30. Gunes O. 39. Arsalo M. 4. Tessilimi O. 26. Honkola E. 8. Armah B. N.
Substitutes
32. Ala-Iso S. 11. Jarvinen T. 23. Liikonen K. 33. Linnas O. (G) 25. Malolo R. 26. Tiihonen A. 19. Tolonen M.	19. Atarah A. 38. Hautamaki E. 15. Hyytinen E. 34. Kaunismaki J. (G) 13. Mekki A. 2. Rintamaki K. 28. Tervaniemi A.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Grieve S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 3.

Gnistan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches SJK Akatemia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SJK Akatemia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gnistan is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Gnistan won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
07.10.23	Ekenäs - Gnistan	3:3 ✺
01.10.23	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	3:2 ✺
27.09.23	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	HIFK - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Gnistan - TPS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTTW
- SJK Akatemia
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.10.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - SJK Akatemia	1:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
07.10.23	SJK Akatemia - HIFK	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	3:2 ✺
27.09.23	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	SJK Akatemia - TPS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
01.10.23	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	3:2
27.08.23	SJK Akatemia - Gnistan	0:1
11.06.23	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	5:2
18.09.22	SJK Akatemia - Gnistan	2:2
31.07.22	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	0:0
29.05.22	SJK Akatemia - Gnistan	4:0
26.09.20	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	2:1

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