Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 21

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Maardu linnastaadion (Maardu)


	Maardu Linnameeskond		Narva Trans U21

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.75	5.25
	1.4	4.75	5.5
	1.38	4.8	5.19
	1.00	13.31	15.00	Watch
	1.37	4.85	6.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	6.49 ↑ (4.88)	7.42 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maardu Linnameeskond
72.5%

Draw
14.7%

Narva Trans U21
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

18.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

17.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maardu Linnameeskond's performance.

Narva Trans U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Maardu Linnameeskond - Narva Trans U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pjatajev D. (G) 4. Boldyrev K. (C) 12. Volkov A. 27. Tjapkin D. 23. Tserezov M. 8. Taar A. 26. Drabinko D. 33. Volkov A. 77. Tsombaljuk S. 17. Panchenko Y. 9. Utgof E.	31. Rebrik I. (G) 20. Stepanov M. 3. Sibul D. 2. Shantenkov V. (C) 66. Petkus E. 55. Jerjomin J. 44. Geveller D. 39. Ivanov J. 36. Bahval P. 37. Besigirskis A. 58. Torchakov V.
Substitutes
14. Eensalu M. 13. Lebedev D. 21. Naydis N. 1. Teles V. (G)	42. Kaurson S. 45. Mihhailov D. 40. Pavlov V. 1. Zahharov M. (G) 38. Zubkov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Volkov A. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Tsombaljuk S. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Stepanov M. (Own goal),
40', 4 - 0, Tserezov M. ⚽,
43', 5 - 0, Panchenko Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 1)
51', 6 - 0, Volkov A. ⚽,
58', 7 - 0, Volkov A. (Pen),
72', 8 - 0, Volkov A. ⚽,
74', 9 - 0, Volkov A. ⚽,
77', 9 - 1, Kaurson S. ⚽,
80', 10 - 1, Taar A. ⚽,
84', 11 - 1, Volkov A. ⚽,

Preview

Maardu Linnameeskond has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Narva U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Maardu Linnameeskond is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Maardu Linnameeskond will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maardu Linnameeskond won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Maardu Linnameeskond won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:6 ✺
28.06.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Kuressaare U21 - Narva Trans U21	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:4 ✺
29.06.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
10.05.25	Narva Trans U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0
12.04.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Narva Trans U21	5:1

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