The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tartu Welco 52.8%
Draw 21.3%
Nõmme United U21 25.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55%
21.1%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
20.2%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-3%)
Tartu Welco - Nõmme United U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Laasner K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', 1 - 1, Ossep L. ⚽,
49', 2 - 1, Laasner K. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 3 - 1, Laasner K. ⚽, Zovo M. (A),
72', Veske S. (Penalty Awarded),
78', 3 - 2, Radomskiy A. ⚽,
79', 4 - 2, Malki E. ⚽, Laasner K. (A),
89', 4 - 3, Truuvaart A. ⚽,
Preview
Tartu Welco arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Nõmme United U21 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tartu Welco may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Tartu Welco for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tartu Welco in today's match, at odds of 1.61.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tartu Welco has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tartu Welco against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals.
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