Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 17

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu)


	Tartu Welco		Nõmme United U21

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.00	4.75
	1.30	5.00	5.80
	1.42	5.45	4.99
	1.39	5.77	5.01	Watch
	1.40	4.80	5.00
	1.52	4.98	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.27)	5.17 ↓ (5.48)	5.05 ↓ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Welco
64.4%

Draw
17.6%

Nõmme United U21
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

16.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tartu Welco's form might have worsened.

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Tartu Welco - Nõmme United U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Palu R. ⚽, Molder K. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Kiivit A. ⚽, Magi M. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Veensalu E. ⚽, Laasner K. (A),
45', 3 - 1, Laasner K. ⚽, Magi M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 3 - 2, Radomskiy A. ⚽, Veske S. (A),
76', 4 - 2, Veensalu E. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 2, Hoffmann T. ⚽, Mottus E. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Meistriliiga and 6).

Tartu Welco is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nõmme United U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nõmme United U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tartu Welco is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tartu Welco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	31	20	5	6	81:39	42	65
7	Nomme Utd U21	31	11	6	14	50:62	-12	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
18.06.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Tartu Welco - FC Tallinn	4:0 ✺
01.06.26	Elva - Tartu Welco	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:2 ✺
24.05.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga
18.06.26	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United U21	4:1 ✺
25.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United U21	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Nõmme United U21 - Elva	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Flora U21 - Nõmme United U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
03.04.26	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Welco	1:3

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