Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday


	Macaé		Madureira

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.4
	2.95	3	2.35
	2.95	2.95	2.33
	2.79	2.87	2.37
	3.01	3.1	2.48
	2.99	3.18	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	3.02 ↓ (3.04)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macaé
31.3%

Draw
30.4%

Madureira
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

22.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macaé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macaé than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macaé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madureira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Macaé - Madureira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macaé Esporte
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
28.02.20	Volta Redonda - Macaé	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Bangu - Macaé	1:0 ✺
03.02.20	Macaé - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
29.01.20	Portuguesa RJ - Macaé	4:1 ✺
26.01.20	Botafogo RJ - Macaé	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Madureira EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.03.20	Fluminense - Madureira	5:1 ✺
08.02.20	Flamengo - Madureira	2:0 ✺
01.02.20	Madureira - Bangu	0:0 ✺
28.01.20	Boavista - Madureira	3:1 ✺
25.01.20	Cabofriense - Madureira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
17.01.18	Madureira - Macaé	2:2
29.01.17	Macaé - Madureira	1:2
24.02.16	Madureira - Macaé	1:0
28.03.15	Madureira - Macaé	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.14	Macaé - Madureira	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
26.01.14	Madureira - Macaé	0:4

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