Match Info

Date: 8 February 2020, Saturday


	Bangu		Macaé

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.71	3.35	4.35
	1.69	3.27	4.28
	1.73	3.69	4.74
	1.8	3.6	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.74)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	4.43 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
52.8%

Draw
26.5%

Macaé
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

16.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Macaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bangu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macaé than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macaé could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bangu - Macaé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.02.20	Madureira - Bangu	0:0 ✺
29.01.20	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
26.01.20	Bangu - Fluminense	1:5 ✺
23.01.20	Resende - Bangu	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLLTT
- Macaé Esporte
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.02.20	Macaé - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
29.01.20	Portuguesa RJ - Macaé	4:1 ✺
26.01.20	Botafogo RJ - Macaé	3:1 ✺
22.01.20	Macaé - Boavista	0:3 ✺
18.01.20	Macaé - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
24.02.18	Macaé - Bangu	2:2
30.03.17	Bangu - Macaé	2:0
21.03.15	Macaé - Bangu	1:1
09.02.14	Bangu - Macaé	0:2
13.04.13	Macaé - Bangu	1:0

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