Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	09:00	SportKlub
Bulgaria	10:00	Nova Sport
Croatia	09:00	SportKlub
Serbia	09:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	09:00	SportKlub


	Macarthur FC		Phnom Penh Crown

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	6	7.25	Watch
	1.25	6	8.5	Watch
	1.26	6.14	7.71
	1.25	6.14	7.71
	1.2	6	8
	1.25	6.55	8.4	Watch
	1.25	6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.58)	6.12 ↑ (4.9)	7.85 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macarthur FC
73.4%

Draw
14.9%

Phnom Penh Crown
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

19.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

18.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macarthur FC's performance.

Phnom Penh Crown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phnom Penh Crown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macarthur FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phnom Penh Crown than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phnom Penh Crown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Macarthur FC - Phnom Penh Crown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kurto F. (G) 4. Jurman M. 6. Uskok T. 44. Millar M. 13. Vujica I. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 10. Davila U. (C) 23. Lewis C. 37. Drew J. 8. Hollman J. 98. Germain V.	22. Vichet U. (G) 5. Safy Y. 73. Chanchav C. 3. Ose T. 11. Brak T. 27. Denilson 8. Chanpolin O. (C) 17. Pisoth L. 12. Socheavila P. 10. Nieto A. 21. Shimizu S.
Substitutes
36. Auglah A. 15. Baccus K. 32. Hovar I. 16. Jones O. 24. M'Mombwa C. 22. Nicolaou Y. 1. Nizic D. (G) 14. Popovic K. 31. Rose L. 27. Skotadis J. 19. Webber J.	18. Baraing S. 39. Choum P. 2. Kyaw S. M. 16. Long P. 7. Muslim Y. 6. Ogawa Y. 20. Pich K. 44. Ponvuthy P. 13. Saveng S. (G)

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Macarthur is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
04.11.23	Macarthur FC - Western United	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC	1:2 ✺
AFC Cup
26.10.23	Phnom Penh Crown - Macarthur FC	3:0 ✺
Australian A-League
21.10.23	Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
AFC Cup
05.10.23	Macarthur FC - Cebu FC	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLTW
- Phnom Penh Crown
Cambodian CPL
04.11.23	Boeung Ket Angkor - Phnom Penh Crown	5:5 ✺
29.10.23	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey - Phnom Penh Crown	1:0 ✺
AFC Cup
26.10.23	Phnom Penh Crown - Macarthur FC	3:0 ✺
Cambodian CPL
21.10.23	Phnom Penh Crown - Prey Veng	3:1 ✺
AFC Cup
05.10.23	Phnom Penh Crown - Shan United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
26.10.23	Phnom Penh Crown - Macarthur FC	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
31.10.26	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	✺
- Phnom Penh Crown
AFC Champions League 2
29.10.26	Phnom Penh Crown - Kitchee	✺

Macarthur FC - Phnom Penh Crown