Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Macarthur FC		Western United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.38	Watch
	2.6	3.75	2.37
	2.65	3.75	2.4
	2.72	3.9	2.44
	2.65	3.9	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.3
	2.7	3.81	2.38	Watch
	2.65	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.26)	3.8 ↑ (3.66)	2.38 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Macarthur FC
35.4%

Draw
24.9%

Western United
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Macarthur FC's form might have worsened.

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macarthur FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	5.1%	92.3%

Macarthur FC - Western United Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 1 - 1.3%). Western United will win (votes: 72 - 93.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 88% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kurto F. (G) 20. Adamson K. 6. Uskok T. 5. Jurman M. 13. Vujica I. 26. Brattan L. 8. Hollman J. 9. Ikonomidis C. 28. Sawyer H. 44. Jakolis M. 98. Germain V.	33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. 77. Danzaki R. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 20. Walatee A. 19. Botic N. 9. Ibusuki H.
Substitutes
27. Damevski J. 7. De Silva D. 40. Jan F. (G) 11. Makrillos P. 35. Oliveira H. 18. Scott W. 29. Vojvodic A.	10. Grimaldi M. 44. Lauton J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 37. Vickery L. 22. Vidmar K. 70. Vonja M. (G)
Coaches
Sterjovski M.	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Garuccio B. (A),
23', Brattan L. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Hollman J. ⚽, Jakolis M. (A),
45', Walatee A. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Walatee A. ⚽, Russell T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Sawyer H. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
61', Thurgate A. 🟨,
61', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Scott W. ↑,
66', Walatee A. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
76', Jakolis M. 🟨,
76', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
76', Danzaki R. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Jakolis M. ⚽,
84', Ruhs M. 🟨,
84', Hollman J. ↓, Makrillos P. ↑,
86', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
86', Botic N. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Feyenoord is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Milan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Feyenoord have a series of guest games.

Recently Milan have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macarthur FC
Australian A-League
31.01.25	Auckland FC - Macarthur FC	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	1:0 ✺
20.01.25	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	1:3 ✺
06.01.25	Macarthur FC - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- Western United
Australian A-League
29.01.25	Western United - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
17.01.25	Western United - Newcastle Jets	3:1 ✺
10.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Western United	3:4 ✺
07.01.25	Melbourne City - Western United	2:0 ✺
03.01.25	Perth Glory - Western United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
07.12.24	Western United - Macarthur FC	0:0
06.04.24	Western United - Macarthur FC	4:2
12.01.24	Macarthur FC - Western United	3:3
04.11.23	Macarthur FC - Western United	1:0
28.01.23	Macarthur FC - Western United	2:2
21.10.22	Western United - Macarthur FC	1:1
19.04.22	Western United - Macarthur FC	2:0

Macarthur FC - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide