The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Macarthur FC 37%
Draw 27.4%
Brisbane Roar 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
26.9%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
27%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Macarthur FC's form might have worsened.
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macarthur FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
6.7%
66.7%
Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Brisbane will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 42.8% – 90.6%.
12. Kurto F. (G) 25. Talbot C. 6. Uskok T. 5. Jurman M. 11. Oliveira B. 17. Randazzo O. 26. Brattan L. 19. Politidis H. 22. Rose L. 8. Vickery L. 33. Ji Dong-Won
1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 12. Herrington L. 6. Ludwik A. 23. McGarry J. 44. Lauton J. 26. O'Shea J. 13. Hore H. 16. Dench M. 17. Vidic J. 9. Long Ch.
Substitutes
24. Bosnjak D. 3. Da Silva D. 23. Deli F. 29. Helweh Z. 32. McKay W. 1. Robinson A. (G) 28. Sawyer H.
15. Bility H. 35. Evagorou-Alao M. 11. Freke M. (G) 30. MacNicol Q. 31. Maieroni N. 19. Ruhs M. 10. Vrakas G.
Coaches
Sterjovski M.
Valkanis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Ludwik A. 🟨,
18', Brattan L. 🟨,
23', Uskok T. 🟨,
43', Ji Dong-Won 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Dench M. ⚽, Vidic J. (A),
57', Vickery L. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
57', Jurman M. ↓, Da Silva D. ↑,
57', Ji Dong-Won ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
61', Long Ch. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
63', Uskok T. ↓, Deli F. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Sawyer H. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Bouzanis D. 🟨,
70', Lauton J. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
71', Maieroni N. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Sawyer H. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Randazzo O. ↓, Helweh Z. ↑,
82', Dench M. ↓, Vrakas G. ↑,
86', Hore H. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
88', Oliveira B. ↓, McKay W. ↑,
88', Bosnjak D. 🟨,
90+8', Deli F. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 3.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Macarthur: Da Silva D.
(Injury)
Ikonomidis C.
(Injury)
Krslovic S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Ferkranus M.
(Muscle Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Macarthur: Randazzo O.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Brisbane: Klein S.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).
Asia
Australia
Finland
Hong-kong
India
Indonesia
Macao
Malaysia
Mongolia
New-zealand
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
United-kingdom
Usa
Vietnam
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Kurto F. (G) 
Talbot C. 
Ji Dong-Won 
Salas Y. 
McGarry J. 
O'Shea J. 
Long Ch. 
Da Silva D. 
Vrakas G. 
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