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Current Win Probability
Maccabi Herzliya 17.8%
Draw 24.8%
Maccabi Petah Tikva 57.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
25.9%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.4%
26.2%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maccabi Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Herzliya's form might have worsened.
Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Petah Tikva's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Herzliya than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Herzliya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Petah Tikva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Petah Tikva (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Ovadia O. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Cortes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', 2 - 1, Inbrum L. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).
Maccabi Herzliya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Maccabi Petah Tikva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Maccabi Petah Tikva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Maccabi Petah Tikva is considered a favorite.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Last Results with these Odds
Maccabi Herzliya - the odds 3.92 are the expected chance of winning is 23.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.