Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday


	Maccabi Jaffa		Agudat Sport Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.08	3.35	3.05
	2.08	3.36	3.27
	2.09	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)	3.31 ↑ (3.01)	3.15 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
43.7%

Draw
27.5%

Agudat Sport Ashdod
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

29.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Agudat Sport Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agudat Sport Ashdod's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agudat Sport Ashdod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Maccabi Jaffa - Agudat Sport Ashdod Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Maccabi Jaffa will win (votes: 3 - 25%). AS Ashdod will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AS Ashdod: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group) and 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Maccabi Jaffa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Agudat Sport Ashdod is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Jaffa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Jaffa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Jaffa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.10.22	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Jaffa	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
22.09.22	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Jaffa	4:2 ✺
19.09.22	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	0:0 ✺
12.09.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTW
- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.10.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Kafr Qasim	1:3 ✺
30.09.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:0 ✺
21.09.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Afula	2:1 ✺
15.09.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Agudat Sport Ashdod	4:0 ✺
08.09.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
11.01.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Jaffa	1:2 penalties
Israeli Liga Alef South
30.04.21	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Jaffa	2:1
20.04.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:2
31.01.20	Maccabi Jaffa - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1
27.09.19	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Jaffa	2:0

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