Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 13

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.3	2.25
	2.41	3.17	2.76	Watch
	2.61	3.38	2.31
	2.9	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.16)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.34 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
34.2%

Draw
27%

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimshon Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimshon Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Barmi S. S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Shadi Y. T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Hershko A. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Ashta A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).

Shimshon Tel Aviv is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

M Kiryat Malakhi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shimshon Tel Aviv could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	M. Ironi Kiryat Malachi	5	3	2	0	11:3	8	11
6	Shimshon Tel Aviv	5	3	1	1	10:6	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	3:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
27.11.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Tzeirei Tira - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW
- Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Dimona - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5:0 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
27.03.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:2
07.12.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:4
09.04.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:0
19.01.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:1

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